摘要:然而美国著名财经记者詹姆斯·苏罗维奇(James Surowiecki)迅速在其社交媒体上表示,刚弄清楚美国政府所展示的这些虚假关税税率是从哪里来的(Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come fro
美国总统特朗普4月2日签署所谓“对等关税”的行政令,宣布美国对贸易伙伴设立10%的“最低基准关税”,并对一些贸易伙伴征收更高关税(此前报道)。
特朗普声称,美国将计算对美国构成了极大威胁的国家的所有关税、非关税壁垒和其他形式的综合税率。
然而美国著名财经记者詹姆斯·苏罗维奇(James Surowiecki)迅速在其社交媒体上表示,刚弄清楚美国政府所展示的这些虚假关税税率是从哪里来的(Just figured out where these fake tariff rates come from),简直是一派胡言(What extraordinary nonsense this is)!
詹姆斯·苏罗维奇(James Surowiecki)推文截图
他在推文中称:“他们实际上并没有像他们所说的那样计算。相反,对每个国家来说,他们只是把美国对该国的贸易赤字除以这个国家对美国的出口额。以印尼为例,美国与印尼的贸易逆差为179亿美元。印尼对美国的出口额为280亿美元,17.9/28=64%,这就是特朗普声称印尼对美国征收的关税税率。”
They didn't actually calculate tariff rates + non-tariff barriers, as they say they did. Instead, for every country, they just took our trade deficit with that country and divided it by the country's exports to us. So we have a $17.9 billion trade deficit with Indonesia. Its exports to us are $28 billion. $17.9/$28 = 64%, which Trump claims is the tariff rate Indonesia charges us. What extraordinary nonsense this is.
此外,《金融时报》也发文揭批相关数据计算之荒谬。文中指出,美国人被告知互惠关税会很简单,然而完整的关税清单公布后,事情却……并不简单。这些税率据称基于美国贸易代表对“针对美国产品征收的关税”的计算,但它们并非源自任何实际征收的公开税率。
Americans were told reciprocal tariffs would be simple. “Reciprocal, that means they do it to us, and we do it to them,” said President Donald Trump on Wednesday. “Very simple, can’t get any simpler than that.” Then the full list of countries’ tariffs came out, and it was... not simple. At least not in the “easily understood” meaning of the word.
The rates were supposedly based on the US Trade Representative’s calculations of “tariffs imposed against US products”. But they didn’t come from any obvious rates that were actually imposed, as Paul Krugman pointed out.
针对美国关税举措,多位欧洲政要2日表示,贸易战对任何人都没有好处,美国也将受到冲击。多方表示反对,多个贸易伙伴已表示将采取反制措施予以回应。
据美国全国广播公司新闻(NBC News)最新报道,特朗普关税计划一出,全球市场反应迅速且剧烈,投资者纷纷逃离美国股市,依赖全球供应链的公司股价下跌。截至美东时间下午6时35分,道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和纳斯达克综合指数期货合约价格分别下跌2.43%、3.6%和4.35%。这些指数刚刚经历了多年来最糟糕的一个季度,在很大程度上是由于对美国政府预期关税计划给经济带来影响的担忧。
韦德布什证券公司(Wedbush Securities)分析师丹·艾夫斯(Dan Ives)当地时间2日在一份报告中写道:“特朗普总统刚刚在白宫发表了他的关税演讲,我们认为这一系列关税措施比华尔街最坏的预期还要糟糕。”这还可能会让深度融入全球经济的大型美国公司举步维艰。
"President Trump just finished his tariff speech at the White House and we would characterize this slate of tariffs as 'worse than the worst case scenario' the Street was fearing," Dan Ives, an analyst at the investment firm Wedbush Securities, wrote in a note sent Wednesday.
当被问及是否对市场走势感到担忧时,美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特(Scott Bessent)对媒体表示,他“已经学会不去关注盘后市场的波动”。
Asked whether he was concerned by the market moves, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told Bloomberg Television that he has "learned not to look at what goes on during after-hours markets".
据美国媒体2日报道,美国近日的一项民意调查结果显示,多数美国人认为美国总统特朗普的关税政策将损害美国经济。数据显示,58%的美国人认为,特朗普的加征关税政策会损害美国经济,会导致美国通胀水平上升。
《今日美国》网站(USA Today)报道同样显示,许多经济学家担心,大规模的对等关税——预计这将引发美国贸易伙伴的反制措施——可能会进一步损害本已疲弱的经济,导致股市暴跌,并使消费者面临更高的价格。
编译:马芮
编辑:陈丹妮 齐磊
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