摘要：这是全球多国正面临的严峻挑战。大多数国家的生育率低于维持人口水平所需的2.1基准值。各国普遍遭遇人口规模缩减、老龄化加剧和社会保障体系超负荷运转三重压力。在劳动人口减少与预期寿命延长的双重作用下，多国被迫提高退休年龄。众多国家的社会保障体系难以承受此负荷。

基里尔·巴巴耶夫

俄罗斯科学院中国与现代亚洲研究所所长

这是全球多国正面临的严峻挑战。大多数国家的生育率低于维持人口水平所需的2.1基准值。各国普遍遭遇人口规模缩减、老龄化加剧和社会保障体系超负荷运转三重压力。在劳动人口减少与预期寿命延长的双重作用下，多国被迫提高退休年龄。众多国家的社会保障体系难以承受此负荷。

Kirill BABAEV

Director of the Institute of China and

Contemporary Asia of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Depopulation is a process that many countries in the world are facing. The fertility rate in most countries is below the indicators necessary for simple reproduction of the population, which is 2.1. Countries around the world are facing a reduction in population, an increase in people of the "third" age, and a colossal burden on social systems. Many countries are forced to raise the retirement age, since the reduction in the working-age population is accompanied by an increase in life expectancy. Social systems in many countries cannot withstand such a burden.

来源：博鳌亚洲论坛