摘要：Megan Brenan is a Senior Editor at Gallup. Brenan uses her expertise in analysis and questionnaire design to advise on Gallup clie

Megan Brenan is a Senior Editor at Gallup. Brenan uses her expertise in analysis and questionnaire design to advise on Gallup client survey projects. She also writes data-driven articles on a broad range of topics for Gallup.com, including economic, political and business matters.

Before joining Gallup, Brenan worked more than 17 years at The New York Times as a writer and most recently as the deputy editor of the News Surveys desk. She covered polling and elections throughout her tenure at The Times under the bylines "Megan Thee" and Megan Thee-Brenan."

Brenan received her bachelor's degree in political science from College of the Holy Cross, Worcester, Mass. She has been a member of AAPOR for nearly two decades and served as secretary and treasurer of its New York Chapter.

梅根·布伦南是盖洛普的高级编辑。布伦南利用她在分析和问卷设计方面的专业知识为盖洛普客户调查项目提供建议。她还为盖洛浦.com撰写关于经济、政治和商业事务等广泛主题的数据驱动文章。

在加入盖洛普之前，布雷南在该公司工作了17年多。 《纽约时报》 作为一名作家，最近担任《新闻调查》栏目的副主编。在她的整个任期内，她报道了民调和选举。 泰晤士报 以“梅根·泰”和“梅根-布雷南”为笔名。

Brenan在马萨诸塞州伍斯特的圣十字学院获得了政治学学士学位。她已经成为AAPOR的成员近二十年，并担任其纽约分会的秘书和财务主管。

华盛顿特区——唐纳德·特朗普总统在他的第二个任期开始不到一个月的时间里，他的工作支持率达到了45%，与 他第一次就职后的阅读 47%在1月。

特朗普在总统任期前几周政府针对的几个问题上的评级与他的总体评级相似，包括移民（46%）、外交事务（44%）、外贸（42%）和经济（42%）。与此同时，对总统处理乌克兰和中东以色列人和巴勒斯坦人之间的局势持赞同态度的美国人略少，各为40%，因为对他在这两方面的表现发表意见的人数较少。

最新的评分来自2月3日至16日的盖洛普民意测验，当时特朗普继续签署了前所未有数量的行政命令、备忘录和公告，涉及广泛的政策领域，包括调查涵盖的六个领域。

93%的共和党人、37%的独立人士和4%的民主党人对特朗普的工作表现总体表示赞同。共和党人还普遍赞同总统处理移民（92%）、外交事务（90%）、经济（90%）和外贸（89%）。另外80%的共和党人都赞同特朗普处理中东和乌克兰局势的方式。

与此同时，民主党人对特朗普在所有六个问题上的支持率为个位数。除了独立人士对总统在移民问题上表现的40%的评价外，他们对经济问题的支持率从31%到外交事务的37%不等。

特朗普的总体工作支持率中89%的党派差距是盖洛普为任何总统测量的最高值之一。唯一较大的差距是 90和92点 ，同样发生在2020年秋季，当时他寻求连任第二任期。下一个最高的党派支持率差距是 88点，在2021年10月，针对乔·拜登 。

特朗普的工作支持率比1953年2月中所有其他民选总统的历史平均水平低15点，但比 他第一任期2月的读数高5点 。比尔·克林顿在2月中旬的民意支持率是新上任总统中最低的，为51%，比特朗普现在高出6个百分点。约翰·肯尼迪（72%）和吉米·卡特（71%）在他们的总统任期中获得了最高的评价。

在特朗普第一个任期之前，在总统上任后的第一个2月，支持者对总统的支持率差距从21到60个百分点不等。2017年，特朗普的支持率差距上升到79个百分点，2021年拜登的支持率进一步上升到84个百分点，现在特朗普的支持率达到了创纪录的89个百分点。

与其他最近几任总统的早期评级相比，特朗普目前在外交和经济方面的支持率也处于历史低位。

他在外交事务上的最新支持率为44%，虽然高于他第一任期同一时期的38%，但低于拜登（56%）、巴拉克·奥巴马（54%）和克林顿（53%），但与乔治·W·布什（46%）相似。

共和党人（+8分）和无党派人士（+7分）比2017年更有可能认可特朗普处理外交事务的方式，而民主党人在这个问题上对他的支持率基本保持不变。

特朗普现在对经济的支持率为42%，低于他在2017年2月的48%，也低于拜登（54%）、奥巴马（59%）和布什（53%）在第一任期内2月对经济的支持。然而，克林顿在1993年2月的经济支持率为45%，与特朗普的最新支持率相似。尽管九成共和党人再次认可特朗普的经济处理方式，但独立派的支持率现在低了13个百分点，为31%，民主党人则低了8个百分点，为5%。

美国人对国会的支持率自1月初以来跃升了12个百分点，达到29%，这是 自2021年5月以来 的最高评级。到目前为止，在短短两年多的时间里，国会的工作支持率一直没有超过20%。

美国民众对国会的支持率最近一次上升，主要是因为共和党人的支持率上升了42个百分点。共和党人的支持率有所改善，这很可能是共和党控制了美国众议院、参议院和总统职位的结果。目前，53%的共和党人认可国会的工作，26%的独立人士（上升了9个百分点）和5%的民主党人（下降了18个百分点）。

上一次共和党对国会的支持率高于现在是在 2005年8月 ，当时共和党也控制了参众两院，57%的人支持该机构。共和党在2017年至2019年期间也有一个统一的政府，今天共和党对国会的评级与当时最高的读数相似—— 2017年2月的50% 。共和党人对那届国会的支持率最终平均为29%。

当民主党上次担任总统时，从2021年到2023年，众议院和参议院对国会的支持率高达 61% 在2021年 并在该届会议中平均达到40%。同样，从2009年到2011年，在民主党控制两院和总统的情况下，最高 63%的民主党人在 2009年5月支持国会。国会批准率在该届会议中在民主党中也平均为40%。

2001年，美国发生“9·11”恐怖袭击后，美国民众团结在政府和机构周围，共和党在国会的支持率创下历史新高。大约一个月后，共和党的国会支持率为89%，民主党为82%，独立党为81%。

底线

共和党人对特朗普总体工作表现以及他处理移民、外交、外贸、经济、乌克兰和中东局势的广泛认可，不足以让他在所有美国人中获得多数支持。这是因为独立人士对总统的支持很弱，而民主党人的支持几乎不存在。

特朗普的前两个工作支持率都低于50%，因为独立选民的支持率相对较低，与他的第一任期相似，但低于拜登上任初期的支持率。像特朗普一样，拜登也 获得了党内极高的支持 率，但反对率却很低。

共和党人也在推动国会的总体支持率达到两年多来的最高点，因为他们寻求实施特朗普的政策议程。然而，历史表明，党派的支持率在最初的蜜月期后往往会有所下降。

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WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Less than one month into his second term in office, President Donald Trump’s job approval rating is at 45%, similar to his first post-inauguration reading of 47% in January.

Trump’s ratings on several issues that his administration has targeted in the first weeks of his presidency are similar to his overall rating, including on immigration (46%), foreign affairs (44%), foreign trade (42%) and the economy (42%). Meanwhile, slightly fewer Americans, 40% each, approve of the president’s handling of the situations in Ukraine and in the Middle East between the Israelis and Palestinians, as fewer offer opinions of his performance on these two issues.

The latest ratings are from a Feb. 3-16 Gallup poll, conducted as Trump continued to sign an unprecedented number of executive orders, memoranda and proclamations addressing a wide array of policy areas, including the six covered in the survey.

Republicans Register High Approval of Trump

Ninety-three percent of Republicans, 37% of independents and 4% of Democrats approve of Trump’s job performance overall. Republicans also broadly approve of the president’s handling of immigration (92%), foreign affairs (90%), the economy (90%) and foreign trade (89%). Another 80% of Republicans each approve of Trump’s handling of the situations in the Middle East and Ukraine.

At the same time, Democrats register single-digit approval ratings of Trump on all six issues measured. Aside from independents’ 40% rating for the president’s performance on immigration, their ratings range from 31% on the economy to 37% on foreign affairs.

Trump’s Rating Better Than First Term, Worse Than All Presidents Since 1953

Trump's job approval rating is 15 points below the historical average for all other elected presidents in mid-February since 1953, but it is five points higher than the February reading in his first term. Bill Clinton has the next lowest mid-February rating for a newly inaugurated president -- which, at 51%, is six points higher than where Trump is now. John Kennedy (72%) and Jimmy Carter (71%) were the highest rated at this point in their presidencies.

Before Trump's first term, the gap in partisans’ approval of presidents in their first February in office ranged from 21 to 60 points. In 2017, that gap rose to 79 points for Trump, increased further to 84 points in 2021 for Biden and is now a record-high 89 points for Trump.

Trump’s current ratings on foreign affairs and the economy are also historically low compared with early-term ratings for other recent presidents.

His latest 44% approval rating on foreign affairs, though better than the 38% he earned at the same point in his first term, is lower than those of Biden (56%), Barack Obama (54%) and Clinton (53%) but similar to George W. Bush (46%).

Republicans (+8 points) and independents (+7 points) are more likely to approve of Trump’s handling of foreign affairs now than in 2017, while Democrats' ratings of him on the issue are essentially unchanged.

Trump’s approval rating on the economy now, 42%, is lower than his 48% reading in February 2017, as well as the first-term February ratings for Biden (54%), Obama (59%) and Bush (53%) on the issue. Clinton’s 45% economic rating in February 1993, however, was similar to Trump’s latest. While nine in 10 Republicans again approve of Trump’s handling of the economy, independents’ approval is now 13 points lower, at 31%, and Democrats’ is eight points lower, at 5%.

Americans’ approval of Congress has jumped 12 points since early January, to 29%, which is the highest rating since May 2021. Until now, congressional job approval had not risen above 20% in just over two years.

The latest jump in Americans’ rating of Congress is mostly owed to a 42-point surge among Republicans, whose improved views are likely the result of their party assuming control of the U.S. House of Representatives, the Senate and the presidency. Currently, 53% of Republicans approve of the job Congress is doing, along with 26% of independents (up nine points) and 5% of Democrats (down 18 points).

The last time Republican approval of Congress was higher than now was in August 2005, when Republicans also had control of both chambers and 57% approved of the body. Republicans also had a unified government from 2017 to 2019, and today’s rating of Congress among Republicans is similar to the highest reading during that time -- 50% in February 2017. Republicans’ approval for that Congress ultimately averaged 29%.

When Democrats last held the presidency, House and Senate -- from 2021 to 2023 -- their approval of Congress was as high as 61% in 2021 and averaged 40% for that session. Likewise, from 2009 to 2011, with Democratic control of both chambers and the presidency, a high of 63% of Democrats approved of Congress in May 2009. Congressional approval also averaged 40% among Democrats for that session.

Each party’s record-high approval rating of Congress was recorded in 2001 in the wake of the 9/11 terrorist attacks on the U.S., when Americans rallied around their government and institutions. About a month after the attacks, Republicans’ congressional approval was 89%, Democrats’ was 82% and independents’ was 81%.

Republicans’ widespread approval of Trump’s overall job performance and his handling of immigration, foreign affairs, foreign trade, the economy, and the situations in Ukraine and the Middle East is not enough to earn him majority-level ratings among all Americans. This is because independents’ approval of the president is weak, and Democrats’ is nearly nonexistent.

Trump’s first two job approval ratings have both been below 50% due to relatively low support among independents, similar to his first term but lower than what Biden enjoyed early in his term. Like Trump, Biden registered exceedingly high approval from his party but very low approval from the opposition.

Republicans are also pushing overall approval of Congress to its highest point in more than two years, as they seek to enact Trump’s policy agenda. However, history has shown that partisans’ approval tends to fade somewhat after an initial honeymoon period.

To stay up to date with the latest Gallup News insights and updates, follow us on X @Gallup.

Explore President Trump's approval ratings and compare them with those of past presidents in the Gallup Presidential Job Approval Center.

Learn more about how the Gallup Poll Social Series works.

来源：非常道