摘要：Lydia Saad是Gallup美国社会研究总监，负责维护盖洛普对美国民意的长期趋势和持续测量。她为盖洛普新闻网站撰写大量文章，涵盖社会、政治和经济话题，并向媒体介绍这些发现。她还是盖洛普公共发布委员会的成员，该委员会负责制定并执行公司公共发布工作的标准，同

林诗怡： More in U.S. Say It's Trump's Rather Than Biden's Economy (美国更多人认为经济的主要责任是特朗普的，而不是拜登的)

作者：

Lydia Saad（莉迪亚·萨德）

Lydia Saad是Gallup美国社会研究总监，负责维护盖洛普对美国民意的长期趋势和持续测量。她为盖洛普新闻网站撰写大量文章，涵盖社会、政治和经济话题，并向媒体介绍这些发现。她还是盖洛普公共发布委员会的成员，该委员会负责制定并执行公司公共发布工作的标准，同时她还担任盖洛普机构审查委员会主席。（Lydia Saad is the Director of U.S. Social Research at Gallup, where she is responsible for maintaining Gallup’s long-term trends and ongoing measurement of U.S. public opinion. In this role, Lydia writes extensively for Gallup’s news website covering social, political and economic topics, and speaks to the press about these findings. She also serves on Gallup’s public release committee, which sets and enforces standards for the company’s public-release work, and she chairs the Gallup Institutional Review Board.）

Jefferey M. Jones, Ph. D. （杰弗里·M·琼斯博士）

Jefferey M. Jones, Ph. D.自2000年起担任Gallup高级编辑，负责监督盖洛普美国民意调查和其他公开发布的调查的研究并进行分析。他关于公众舆论和投票行为的研究成果发表于学术期刊并编著书籍。（Jeffrey M. Jones, Ph.D., has served as a Gallup Senior Editor since 2000, overseeing research and conducting analysis for Gallup's U.S. polling and other public release surveys. His research on public opinion and voting behavior has been published in academic journals and edited books.）

故事亮点

华盛顿特区——唐纳德·特朗普总统第二个任期三个月后，更多的美国人将美国当前的经济状况归因于他，而不是前任总统拜登，而相当一部分人认为两人仍然分担责任。

4月2日至15日接受调查的美国人中，46%表示，特朗普是两位总统中对美国经济现状负责的，而27%的人选择拜登。考虑到另外两个选项，21%的人表示两者都同样负责，而5%的人表示两者都不负责。这些结果与盖洛普在3月份记录的结果几乎相同。

将“两者”的回答添加到每位总统的数据中，结果是 4 月份有 67% 的美国人认为特朗普对经济负有重大责任，而 48% 的人认为拜登负有同样责任。

盖洛普在三月和四月通过其基于概率的小组调查，通过网络追踪了这些态度。在每次调查中，一半的受访者被提供四个选项，决定谁对经济负有最大责任——特朗普、拜登、两人都负有责任或两人都不负有责任。另一半受访者只能选择特朗普或拜登。在四月份的二元问题回答中，66%的美国人认为特朗普的责任更大，这与在四部分问题中回答他负有全部或部分责任的总百分比几乎相同。其余三分之一的人认为拜登负有责任。

党派人士讲述不同的经济和政治故事

说特朗普对当前的经济状况负有责任，究竟是批评还是赞扬，取决于人们对经济的看法。总体而言，将经济状况评为“优秀”或“良好”的美国人，分为三类：拜登（37%）、特朗普（34%）以及双方或双方都有责任（28%）。相反，那些认为经济状况不佳的人，大多将责任归咎于特朗普（66%）。其中只有14%的人将责任完全归咎于拜登，而20%的人则认为双方或双方都有责任。

75% 的民主党人将经济责任归咎于特朗普，这显然是一种批评，因为大多数民主党人都对当前的经济状况持负面态度。

共和党人对当前经济状况的评估更加复杂，但他们将经济状况完全归咎于拜登的可能性是特朗普的两倍多（55% 对 21%）。

总体而言，91%的民主党人认为特朗普对经济状况负有主要或同等责任，而20%的人认为拜登负有主要或同等责任。在共和党人中，40%的人认为特朗普负有主要或同等责任，74%的人认为拜登负有主要或同等责任。

底线

鉴于特朗普通过提高关税、减税和放松管制等措施重塑经济的积极努力和计划，以及华尔街在 4 月初对其政策及其实施的负面反应，许多美国人认为当前的经济状况已经更多地反映了特朗普的总统任期而非拜登的任期，这并不奇怪。

对经济深感担忧的民主党人已经达成共识，认为现在的经济是特朗普的天下，而且很大一部分独立人士也认同这一点。共和党人不太可能认为经济状况是特朗普而非拜登管理的结果，除非他们更加确信经济状况良好。特朗普最近将第一季度经济负增长归咎于拜登的言论，以及他暗示第二季度可能出现的负增长也是拜登的责任，这些言论很可能会让共和党人对经济所有权的现有看法得以延续。

Story Highlights

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Three months into President Donald Trump’s second term, more Americans attribute current U.S. economic conditions to him rather than to his predecessor Joe Biden, while a considerable portion thinks responsibility is still shared between the two.

Nearly half of Americans surveyed April 2-15, 46%, say Trump is the more responsible of the two presidents for the current state of the U.S. economy, while 27% choose Biden. Given two other options, 21% indicate that both are equally responsible, while 5% say neither is. These results are nearly identical to what Gallup recorded in March.

Adding the “both” response to each president’s figure results in 67% of Americans in April thinking Trump bears substantial responsibility for the economy and 48% thinking the same of Biden.

Gallup has tracked these attitudes by web in March and April using its probability-based panel. In each survey, half of respondents were given four options for who bears the most responsibility for the economy — Trump, Biden, both or neither. The other half were offered only the choice of Trump or Biden. In answer to the binary question in April, 66% of Americans say Trump is the more responsible of the two, nearly identical to the total percentage saying he is solely or partially responsible in the four-part question. The remaining third say Biden is responsible.

Partisans Tell Different Economic and Political Stories

Whether saying Trump is responsible for today’s economy is a criticism or compliment depends on one’s view of the economy. Overall, Americans who rate the economy as either excellent or good are split between assigning responsibility to Biden (37%), Trump (34%), and both or neither (28%). Conversely, those saying economic conditions are poor mostly assign responsibility to Trump (66%). Just 14% of this group attributes them solely to Biden, while 20% say both or neither.

Democrats' assigning of responsibility for the economy to Trump, which 75% do, is clearly a criticism, as most Democrats describe the current state of the economy in negative terms.

Republicans have a more mixed assessment of present economic conditions, but they are also more than twice as likely to attribute conditions exclusively to Biden than to Trump (55% vs. 21%).

Overall, 91% of Democrats say Trump is mostly or equally responsible for the state of the economy, while 20% say the same about Biden. Among Republicans, the figures are 40% for Trump and 74% for Biden.

Bottom Line

Given Trump’s assertive efforts and plans to remake the economy through a combination of tariff hikes, tax cuts and deregulation, along with Wall Street's negative reaction in early April to his policies and implementation of them, it’s not surprising that many Americans perceive that the current economy already reflects Trump’s presidency more than Biden’s.

Democrats, who are deeply concerned about the economy, have already reached a consensus that it’s now Trump’s economy, and a large segment of independents agree. Republicans aren't likely to perceive that economic conditions are the result of Trump's rather than Biden's management until they are more convinced that the economy is doing well. Trump's recent comments tying negative first-quarter economic growth to Biden — and his suggestion that possible negative second-quarter growth would also be Biden's responsibility — are likely to ensure current Republican beliefs about economic ownership persist.

来源：非 常道