摘要：《欧亚研究》（Europe-Asia Studies）为每年出刊10期的学术期刊，由Routledge代表格拉斯格大学中东欧研究部门（University of Glasgow）出版。主要关注前苏联地区国家的政治、经济、社会议题及其20世纪的历史。

期刊简介

《欧亚研究》（Europe-Asia Studies）为每年出刊10期的学术期刊，由Routledge代表格拉斯格大学中东欧研究部门（University of Glasgow）出版。主要关注前苏联地区国家的政治、经济、社会议题及其20世纪的历史。

本期目录

1 认知共同体与“影响力代理人”：来自苏联情报文件的洞见

Epistemic Communities and ‘Agents of Influence’ Insights from Soviet Intelligence Documents

2 “黄金国”还是搭便车？国际形象理论视角下的斯洛伐克

‘EI Dorado’ or Free Rider? Slovakia Through the Lens of International Image Theory

3 普京治下俄罗斯的模式（1995—2016）

Invalid Votes in Dictatorships: Patterns in Putin’s Russia (1995-2016)

4 俄罗斯大学生对脱碳的认知与态度

Perceptions and Attitudes Towards Decarbonisation Amongst Russian University Students

5 焦虑而陌生的兄弟：希波布罗克公司的建立与波兰对华政策（1950—1951）

Anxious Unfamiliar Brothers: The Establishment of Chipolbrok and Polish Policy Towards China (1950–1951)

内容摘要

认知共同体与“影响力代理人”：来自苏联情报文件的洞见

作者：Sanshiro Hosaka，塔尔图大学，爱沙尼亚塔林国际防务与安全中心。

摘要：冷战的和平结束凸显了通过跨国科学家网络（即认知共同体）传播的思想在国际政治中的力量。本文基于苏联情报文件，探讨了西方学者与独裁政权之间关系的一个隐藏维度：“影响力代理人”。知识共同体与影响力代理人都致力于某一共同的政策事业，例如防止核战争。苏联情报机构会寻找所持观点在某种程度上与苏联立场相一致的“老练”外国人，逐渐扩大共识，并促使他们尝试影响目标国的公众、议会或政府。

The peaceful end of the Cold War highlighted the power of ideas diffused through transnational networks of scientists—epistemic communities—in international politics. Drawing on Soviet intelligence documents, this article explores a hidden dimension of the relationship between Western scholars and autocracies: ‘agents of influence’. Both epistemic communities and agents of influence share a common policy enterprise, such as the prevention of nuclear war. Soviet intelligence sought out ‘sophisticated’ foreigners whose views were partially congruent with Soviet perspectives, gradually broadening common ground, and prompting them to attempt to influence a target state’s public, parliament or government.

“黄金国”还是搭便车？国际形象理论视角下的斯洛伐克

作者：Darina Malová，布拉迪斯拉发夸美纽斯大学文学院政治学系；Veronika Oravcová，布拉迪斯拉发夸美纽斯大学文学院政治学系。

摘要：本研究运用国际形象理论进行媒体分析，通过“目标兼容性”“实力”“文化地位”等概念，探讨了斯洛伐克在意大利媒体中20年来的形象构建。分析表明，由于媒体基于国家视角选择性运用共同规范和规则，媒体对斯洛伐克的关注仅部分地受到国际形象理论因素的影响。其中，“目标兼容性”似乎是激发媒体兴趣的最重要因素，由于斯洛伐克通常因其某些政策与意大利的国家利益相符或相悖而受到关注，“目标兼容性”似乎是激发媒体兴趣的最重要因素。

This study explores the construction of Slovakia’s image in the Italian media over a 20-year period, through a media analysis that draws on international image theory, operationalised as ‘goal compatibility’, ‘power capability’ and ‘cultural status’. The analysis reveals that media interest in Slovakia was influenced only partially by factors from international image theory, due to a selective application of shared norms and rules based on the national perspective. ‘Goal compatibility’ seems to be the most important trigger for media interest, as Slovakia has attracted attention in relation to policies that either facilitated or contradicted Italy’s national interests.

普京治下俄罗斯的模式（1995—2016）

作者：Allison C. White，科罗拉多州立大学政治学系助理教授。

摘要：

I uncover the predictors of invalid votes in one of the world’s most prominent dictatorships—Russia—and examine associations with political parties’ performance using data from six legislative elections. While existing scholarship predicts more invalid votes in more educated and urban areas and fewer in areas with greater effective numbers of parties (ENP), evidence from Russia suggests the opposite, with noteworthy nuances in the case of ENP due to a curvilinear relationship with invalid votes. Increases in invalid votes are associated with better electoral performance by the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (Kommunisticheskaya Partiya Rossiiskoi Federatsii—KPRF) and poorer performance by United Russia (Edinaya Rossiya).

俄罗斯大学生对脱碳的认知与态度

作者：Anatoli Bourmistrov，北方大学商学院；Ida Margrethe Kalseth Norum；Elena Dybtsyna，北方大学商学院。

摘要：应对气候变化需要更深入地理解石油和天然气生产国（尤其是俄罗斯）的转型。本研究通过分析381份问卷调查，考察了俄罗斯大学生对脱碳及相关因素的认知与态度。分析结果显示，学生对可再生能源使用方面的脱碳进程普遍信息不足，这或许表明，无论是高等教育领域还是整个社会，都没有重视对学生进行脱碳教育。因此，俄罗斯的年轻人未必是加速国家能源转型的潜在力量。

Combatting climate change requires a better understanding of the transition of oil- and gas-producing countries, especially Russia. This study examines the perceptions and attitudes of Russian university students towards decarbonisation and related factors by analysing 381 responses to a questionnaire. The analysis reveals a low level of general confidence in decarbonisation in terms of the use of renewable energy, indicating perhaps that neither the university sector nor society in general has focused on informing students about decarbonisation. Thus, young Russians do not necessarily represent a potential force accelerating the Russian energy transition.

焦虑而陌生的兄弟：希波布罗克公司的建立与波兰对华政策（1950—1951）

作者：杨猛，清华大学国际与地区研究院博士研究生。

摘要：希波布罗克公司是1949年中华人民共和国成立后首批中外合资企业之一，见证了冷战时期的中波关系。本研究基于中波两国官方的大量档案，分析了希波布罗克公司成立的曲折历程，反映出波兰在发展对华关系过程中，在满足自身国家利益与履行国际义务之间反复权衡。本文认为，希波布罗克公司的建立不仅是苏联因素推动的结果，还得益于中国在对波出口问题上的关键性让步。

Chipolbrok, one of the first Sino–foreign joint ventures following the formation of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) in 1949, bore witness to Sino–Polish relations throughout the Cold War. Drawing on extensive archives from the Chinese and Polish authorities, this study analyses the twists and turns in the establishment of Chipolbrok, which reflect Poland’s repeated trade-offs between satisfying its national self-interests and obeying its internationalist obligations in the course of developing its relations with China. The article argues that the establishment of Chipolbrok cannot be solely attributed to the Soviet factor but also to critical Chinese concessions on exports to Poland.

译者：汪平平，国政学人编译员，同济大学政治与国际关系学院外交学专业，研究兴趣为欧洲研究。

审校 | 张潇文

排版 | 梁艺蓝

Volume 77, Issue 2, 2025，本文为公益分享，服务于科研教学，不代表本平台观点。如有疏漏，欢迎指正。

来源：国政学人