小一笔记(8):物流需求预测的误差分析
由于物流系统的复杂性与不确定性,要准确预测未来的物流需求是一件困难的事情。因为需求含有系统需求部分与随机需求部分,随机需求部分就会以预测误差的形式表现出来。预测误差是指某一时间间隔内预测需求与实际需求的差异,公式如下:
由于物流系统的复杂性与不确定性,要准确预测未来的物流需求是一件困难的事情。因为需求含有系统需求部分与随机需求部分,随机需求部分就会以预测误差的形式表现出来。预测误差是指某一时间间隔内预测需求与实际需求的差异,公式如下:
近日,《金融时报》发布了一篇题为“美国为何会在贸易战中输给中国(Why the US will lose against China)”的报道,对美国在贸易战中难以取胜的原因进行了分析。文章指出,特朗普对全球提出的所谓“对等关税”的“解放日”计划,堪称史上最离
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The videos claim that many products from top European luxury brands—such as handbags, shoes, and accessories—are actually produced
预测是根据对象的现状和过去发展变化的情况,找出规律,根据这个发展变化规律来推测出对象未来的发展变化趋势,需求预测的目的是使这个未知事件发生的不确定极小化。因此,在预测过程中要注意以下几点:第一,正确掌握变化的原因;第二,了解变化的状态;第三,从量的变化中找出因
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